Why are Normal Distributions Normal?

نویسنده

  • Aidan Lyon
چکیده

We seem to be surrounded by bell curves—curves more formally known as normal distributions, or Gaussian distributions. All manner of things appear to be distributed normally: people’s heights, sizes of snowflakes, errors in measurements, lifetimes of lightbulbs, IQ scores, weights of loaves of bread, and so on. I argue that the standard explanation for why such quantities are normally distributed, which one sees throughout the sciences, is often false. The standard explanation invokes the Central Limit Theorem, and I argue that in many cases the conditions of the theorem are not satisfied, not even approximately. I then suggest an alternative explanatory schema for why a given quantity is normally distributed. “Everyone believes in it: experimentalists believing that it is a mathematical theorem, mathematicians believing that it is an empirical fact.” — Henri Poincaré.1

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تاریخ انتشار 2012